Cloud computing has reached the peak of inflated expectations Print E-mail
Written by Staff Writer   
Tuesday, 18 August 2009
Gartner, the analyst group annually puts out its Hype report and shows that cloud computing has reached the peak of inflated expectations and has the trough of disillusionment to come in the hype cycle. The report which examines the maturity of 1,650 technologies and trends in 79 technology, topic, and industry areas, and these findings have been published in “Gartner’s Hype Cycle Special Report for 2009." Each Hype Cycle provides a snapshot of key technologies and trends in a specific technology, topic, geographic region, or industry domain.

As most of us are aware, cloud computing is certainly gaining momentum, but according to Gartner’s report by reaching the Peak of Inflated Expectations indicates that early publicity is producing excitement and success stories. These success stories indicate that some companies are taking action while the majority is not taking action.

As time continues along with failure and lack of interest the fall from Inflated Expectations begins its decent to the Trough of Disillusionment. It is at this low point that interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology shake out or fail. The only thing that will save the technology at this point is for those who have been successful to improve their products.

We are likely at a stage that will begin to determine how quickly cloud computing falls and how quickly it will return upward to what is called by Gartner as the slope of enlightenment and then the plateau of productivity.

The slope of enlightenment is when a technology begins to prove that it is benefiting many and is widely understood.
Many analysts in the industry are seeing companies trying to implement cloud computing in ways that fit their prior experience which can hinder the technology’s capabilities. Time will tell and if successful will reach the plateau of productivity which is when a product becomes mainstream by being applicable and relevant to almost any company.

It is clear that the public opinion on cloud computing is mixed. In an informal survey conducted on the Data Center Journal 18.5% of those surveyed indicated that cloud computing is a passing fad, 27.8% indicated that it needs to mature while 33.3% noted that it will change the enterprise and IT.

It appears that cloud computing is riding high for the moment, but time will tell if it will convince users to push it up from the Trough of Disillusionment which happens to be its next stop.

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